What Exit Polls in these 5 states have for BJP?

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The entire exit polls might not have much to celebrations for BJP this time indicating losing almost all its 3 main States to Congress. This will not be a good signal for BJP in the upcoming Loksabha polls 2019 as well as for Modi.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2018(230 seats and 116 for the majority –

Survey BJP CONGRESS+ OTHERS
Times Now- CNX 126 89 15
India Today-Axis My India 111 113 6
C Voter 98 118 14
News 24 Pace 103 115 12
ABP-CSDS 94 126 10
NewsX-Neta 106 112 12
Jan Ki Baat 118 105 7

 

Analysis of above predictions:

A tough fight between BJP and Congress after 15 years of BJP rule. It might not go well with CM Shivraj Singh Chauhan.

BJP has been in power in the state for 15 years. Out of these, Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan has occupied the top office in the state for 13 years. In 2013, the BJP won 165 seats and the Congress bagged 58 in a 230-member Legislative Assembly. BSP won four seats. Independent candidates had clinched three seats. The anti-incumbency, farmers distress and SC/ST bill seems to be a major turning point against BJP and in favour of Congress.

Rajasthan Exit polls 2018 (199 seats and 100 for majority)

Survey BJP CONGRESS+ OTHERS
Times Now- CNX

 

85 105 9
India Today-Axis My India

 

64 130 6
C Voter

 

60 137 3
NewsX-Neta

 

80 112 7
Jan Ki Baat

 

93 91 15

 

Analysis of above predictions:

History seems to repeat itself in Rajasthan as above polls predict clear edge of Congress over BJP.

The state is known for changing regimes in almost every term since 1998 and anti- incumbency against CM Vasundhra Raje government. The bill regarding immunity to bureaucrats seems to be one of the factors against Raje government.

During elections, famous line among state people was “Vasundhraji ki kher nhi aur Modiji se ber nhi” seems to be true in existing exit polls. Hence it predicts clean sweep of congress over BJP. In 2013, BJP had won 163 seats out of 200 and the second congress had finished with just 21 seats. . After high-pitched campaigning, the north-western state saw a voter turnout (till 5 pm) at 72.7 percent.

Chhattisgarh Exit Polls 2018(90 seats and 46 for the majority)

Survey BJP CONGRESS OTHERS
Times Now- CNX

 

46 35 9
India Today-Axis My India

 

26 60 4
C Voter

 

39 46 5
News Nation

 

40 42 8
INDIA TV

 

46 35 9
NewsX-Neta

 

43 40 7
Jan Ki Baat

 

44 40 6

 

Analysis of above predictions:

In Chattisgarh battle also Congress giving a neck to neck fight to BJP and seems to be not a good signal for CM Raman Singh.

The Bharatiya Janata Party under Chief Minister Raman Singh could just scrape through and retain the state.

Telangana Exit Polls 2018(119 seats and 60 for the majority)

Survey TRS CONGRESS+ OTHERS
Times Now- CNX

 

66 37 9
India Today-Axis My India

 

81 27 6
C Voter

 

58 45 11
NewsX-Neta

 

57 46 10

 

Analysis of above predictions:

In Telangana CM K Chandrashekhar Rao seems to have a very smooth majority and might be seen a comeback for sure as per the above polls.  A three-way battle between the Congress-led “Prajakutami” (People’s Front), which is an umbrella alliance of Congress, Telugu Desam Party, Telangana Jana Samiti and Communist Party of India (CPI), the ruling Telangana Rashtra Samiti and the Bharatiya Janata Party, saw a fierce electoral campaign in the run-up to polls. Asaddudin Owiaisi-led AIMIM is also in the fray. 

Mizoram Exit Polls 2018(40 seats and 21 for the majority)

Survey MNF CONGRESS OTHERS
Times Now- CNX

 

18 16 6
C Voter

 

18 16 6

 

Analysis of above predictions:

Congress has left only with Mizoram state in entire Northeast and it seems that this time it will also lose this one and regional Party MNF will have a chance to form a government there. Chief Minister Lal Thanhawla has been leading the Congress government in the northeastern state for 10 years. In 2013, Congress had won 34 out of the 40 seats in the Assembly. MNF and the Mizo People’s Conference (MPC) had won five seats and one seat each.

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